Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umea FC v Karlbergs BK — Team-Based Signals
Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Umea FC 2-1 Karlbergs BK — Actual Match Statistics
Umea FC nicked a narrow win over Karlbergs BK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Umea FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Umea FC had 54% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 46%, shots finished 12-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Umea FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Umea FC and 1.50 for Karlbergs BK.
What was the final score of Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK?
Umea FC 2-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Karlbergs BK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 41%, draw 22%, Karlbergs BK 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.