Karlbergs BK 2-2 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.87
+100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
6 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
2-2
AWAY Umea FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK and Umea FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Umea FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 56% of the ball to Umea FC's 44%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Umea FC?

Karlbergs BK 2-2 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 23%, draw 25%, Umea FC 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umea FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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