United Nordic 2-0 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.9pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.2pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United Nordic EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.23/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.65
-16% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
463 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United Nordic
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Pitea IF
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Pitea IF Pitea IF 1-5 HT 0-2 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
17.09.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 1-1 HT 0-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
23.04.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 0-1 HT 0-0 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United Nordic
2-0
AWAY Pitea IF
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH United Nordic vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United Nordic beat Pitea IF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had United Nordic as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, United Nordic had 61% of the ball to Pitea IF's 39%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, United Nordic had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for United Nordic and 0.67 for Pitea IF.

What was the final score of United Nordic vs Pitea IF?

United Nordic 2-0 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United Nordic vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split United Nordic 65%, draw 17%, Pitea IF 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United Nordic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (United Nordic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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