AFC Eskilstuna 2-3 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 51%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.29
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
18.09.2021 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ2
31.07.2021 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 4-2 HT 1-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
23.08.2017 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇK
31.08.2014 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
31.07.2009 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 5-2 HT 4-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
2-3
AWAY Vasalund IF
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF nicked a narrow win over AFC Eskilstuna 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasalund IF as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 49% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 51%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Eskilstuna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AFC Eskilstuna and 1.50 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs Vasalund IF?

AFC Eskilstuna 2-3 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 31%, draw 27%, Vasalund IF 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasalund IF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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