Pitea IF 1-2 Arlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
60%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
25%
-7.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
60%
Away Win
52%
+8.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Arlanda EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.02/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-24% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
1-2
AWAY Arlanda
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs Arlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda squeezed past Pitea IF 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pitea IF had 51% of the ball to Arlanda's 49%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs Arlanda?

Pitea IF 1-2 Arlanda in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs Arlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 18%, draw 22%, Arlanda 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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