Merida AD vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merida AD v Lugo — Team-Based Signals
Merida AD vs Lugo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Merida AD 0-2 Lugo — Actual Match Statistics
Lugo saw off Merida AD 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Merida AD at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Merida AD had 58% of the ball to Lugo's 42%, shots finished 15-5.
What was the final score of Merida AD vs Lugo?
Merida AD 0-2 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Lugo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 44%, draw 26%, Lugo 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Merida AD) went the other way.