Recreativo Huelva 3-2 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
67%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
13%
Away Win
13%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.91/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.77
+9% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Xerez Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS4
16.04.2023 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
04.12.2022 Xerez Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recreativo Huelva
3-2
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recreativo Huelva edged past Xerez Deportivo 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Recreativo Huelva as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Recreativo Huelva had 55% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 45%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Recreativo Huelva had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Recreativo Huelva and 0.33 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo?

Recreativo Huelva 3-2 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Recreativo Huelva 65%, draw 22%, Xerez Deportivo 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Recreativo Huelva), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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