Sarriana 3-4 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarriana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -16%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.59
+12% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarriana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.11.2025 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-0 HT 0-0 Sarriana İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarriana
3-4
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sarriana vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria nicked a narrow win over Sarriana 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sarriana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sarriana had 65% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 35%, shots finished 28-9.

What was the final score of Sarriana vs Rayo Cantabria?

Sarriana 3-4 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarriana vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarriana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sarriana 45%, draw 23%, Rayo Cantabria 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarriana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarriana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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