LDU Quito 1-0 Guayaquil City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 May 2026

LDU Quito
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Guayaquil City
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.07
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
47%
4-5
25%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

LDU Quito v Guayaquil City — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME LDU Quito The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Guayaquil City The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.73
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.13
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2

LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Guayaquil City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
373 Passes 329
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
09.04.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-2 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.10.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
22.05.2022 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
03.10.2021 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 3-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
18.04.2021 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-2 HT 2-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1

LDU Quito 1-0 Guayaquil City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
1 - 0
AWAY Guayaquil City
3.31 xG 0.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
343 Passes 390
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

LDU Quito edged past Guayaquil City 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, LDU Quito had 47% of the ball to Guayaquil City's 53%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 3.31 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold LDU Quito's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for LDU Quito and 1.00 for Guayaquil City.

LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City Result & Final Score

LDU Quito 1 - 0 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 71%, draw 17%, Guayaquil City 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Over 2.5
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