Macara 1-2 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 May 2026

Macara
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Orense
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Macara The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Orense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 0.74
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
172 Passes 356
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2026 Orense Orense 0-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara CSA
17.06.2025 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
16.02.2025 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
28.09.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
13.04.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
16.07.2022 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
1 - 2
AWAY Orense
1.67 xG 1.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
406 Passes 239
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Macara vs Orense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Orense edged past Macara 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Orense made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Macara had 62% of the ball to Orense's 38%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.67 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Macara and 0.50 for Orense.

Macara vs Orense Result & Final Score

Macara 1 - 2 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Macara vs Orense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Macara 37%, draw 32%, Orense 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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