Delfin 1-0 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 May 2026

Delfin
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Mushuc Runa
📅03/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.51
Over
36%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.07
No
54%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Delfin The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.09 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
205 Passes 212
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2025 Delfin Delfin 3-1 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
18.02.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
08.11.2024 Delfin Delfin 4-2 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
19.05.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 5-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
16.09.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
16.04.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1 - 0
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.47 xG 0.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
203 Passes 196
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Delfin found just enough to beat Mushuc Runa 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Delfin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (64%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Delfin's favour, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.47 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Delfin against 2.00 for Mushuc Runa.

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa Result & Final Score

Delfin 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Delfin vs Mushuc Runa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Delfin 41%, draw 33%, Mushuc Runa 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delfin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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