Orense vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orense v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orense 0-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Macara nicked a narrow win over Orense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Orense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Orense's favour, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Orense against 0.50 for Macara.
Orense vs Macara Result & Final Score
Orense 0 - 1 Macara in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orense vs Macara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orense 47%, draw 32%, Macara 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orense) went the other way.