Orense 0-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.79 xG 0.93
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
369 Passes 154
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.06.2025 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
16.02.2025 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
28.09.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
13.04.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
16.07.2022 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
01.03.2022 Macara Macara 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
0-1
AWAY Macara
0.50 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
294 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orense vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara nicked a narrow win over Orense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Orense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Orense had 52% of the ball to Macara's 48%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 0.50 for Macara.

What was the final score of Orense vs Macara?

Orense 0-1 Macara in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Orense 47%, draw 30%, Macara 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orense), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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