Cienciano 1-1 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 6 Mar 2026

Cienciano
1-1 HT 0-0
Melgar
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Cienciano vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cienciano v Melgar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar EU Bookmakers 34%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.69/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.18
-79% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +71%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.8 Crosses 16.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Cienciano vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Melgar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.72 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.02.2026 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
03.10.2025 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.05.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 1-2 HT 1-1 Melgar Melgar PER
26.08.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 3-1 HT 1-1 Melgar Melgar PER
31.03.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.09.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 0-1 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER

Cienciano 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
1-1
AWAY Melgar
1.42 xG 0.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
247 Passes 248
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Melgar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano and Melgar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cienciano had 51% of the ball to Melgar's 49%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cienciano and 1.67 for Melgar.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Melgar?

Cienciano 1-1 Melgar in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Melgar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 45%, draw 29%, Melgar 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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