America de Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America de Cali v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
America de Cali 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali edged past Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America de Cali had 65% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 35%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.24 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America de Cali's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America de Cali and 0.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
America de Cali 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 48%, draw 27%, Atletico Bucaramanga 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.