Boston River 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.98
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.80/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.28
+150% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.0 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
10.09.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 Boston River Boston River URUK
23.05.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.03.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
27.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
24.05.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-0
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.70 xG 0.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
169 Passes 236
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River squeezed past Racing Club Montevideo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Boston River made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Boston River had 42% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 58%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.70 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boston River and 1.33 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Boston River 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boston River 38%, draw 29%, Racing Club Montevideo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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