Nacional vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional and Deportivo Recoleta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Nacional had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 44%, shots finished 12-2, expected goals 1.06 to 0.14.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Copa Sudamericana on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacional 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Recoleta 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional), BTTS No went the other way.