Orense vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Macara
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-1
Macara
EKV1
Orense 1-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Orense squeezed past Macara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Orense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Orense had 70% of the ball to Macara's 30%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orense and 0.67 for Macara.
What was the final score of Orense vs Macara?
Orense 1-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orense 43%, draw 29%, Macara 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.