Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Casa Pia 0-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela edged past Casa Pia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Tondela made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Casa Pia had 48% of the ball to Tondela's 52%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.38 to 1.53.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Tondela?
Casa Pia 0-1 Tondela in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 37%, draw 31%, Tondela 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casa Pia), BTTS Yes went the other way.