Tondela vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Tondela 1-2 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia squeezed past Tondela 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Casa Pia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tondela had 46% of the ball to Casa Pia's 54%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.75 to 1.20 — on chances, Tondela could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Casa Pia?
Tondela 1-2 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tondela 40%, draw 29%, Casa Pia 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.