Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Dec 2025

Santa Clara
0-0 HT 0-0
Arouca
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Santa Clara vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.8
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.1
X/1
20%
4.14
X/2
8%
9.25
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
8.25
2/X
5%
16.95
Value flag · 1/X at 15.1 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Arouca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arouca EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -17%
1.64/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.38
-24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.5 Crosses 15.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Santa Clara vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arouca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 1.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 323
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 2-0 Arouca Arouca POR
15.12.2024 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
11.02.2023 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
16.12.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-1 Arouca Arouca PORLC
20.08.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-0 Arouca Arouca POR
15.04.2022 Arouca Arouca 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-0
AWAY Arouca
0.46 xG 0.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
342 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Arouca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara and Arouca played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santa Clara had 52% of the ball to Arouca's 48%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.46 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Clara and 1.17 for Arouca.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Santa Clara 0-0 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 49%, draw 26%, Arouca 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
21 Dec 2025
18:30 AVS vs Nacional Analysis →
21:00 Tondela vs Casa Pia Analysis →