Santa Clara 2-0 Arouca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

Santa Clara
2-0 HT 2-0
Arouca
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Santa Clara vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.68
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
21%
4.27
X/2
7%
8.19
X/X
11%
3.85
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
13%
7.26
2/X
8%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Arouca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arouca EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.72/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.30
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.8 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Santa Clara vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arouca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
276 Passes 317
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
11.02.2023 Arouca Arouca 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
16.12.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-1 Arouca Arouca PORLC
20.08.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-0 Arouca Arouca POR
15.04.2022 Arouca Arouca 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
05.12.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 2-1 Arouca Arouca POR

Santa Clara 2-0 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
2-0
AWAY Arouca
0.93 xG 0.99
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
204 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Arouca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara beat Arouca 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara had 39% of the ball to Arouca's 61%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.93 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arouca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Clara and 1.33 for Arouca.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Santa Clara 2-0 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 47%, draw 25%, Arouca 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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