Gil Vicente vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gil Vicente v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Gil Vicente vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
3-1
HT 2-1
Gil Vicente
POR
3-2
HT 1-2
Gil Vicente
POR
Gil Vicente 1-0 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente edged past Farense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Gil Vicente had 54% of the ball to Farense's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gil Vicente's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.17 for Farense.
What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Farense?
Gil Vicente 1-0 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 39%, draw 31%, Farense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.