Farense 0-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
8%
5.55
X/X
14%
3.9
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
23%
4.09
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.28
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-0 HT 2-0 Farense Farense POR
06.01.2024 Farense Farense 1-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
01.05.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
10.01.2021 Farense Farense 3-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.05.2002 Farense Farense 3-2 HT 1-2 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
06.01.2002 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-1 HT 0-1 Farense Farense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
0-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.81 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
270 Passes 313
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente squeezed past Farense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Farense had 49% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 51%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.81 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farense and 1.33 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Farense vs Gil Vicente?

Farense 0-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Farense 34%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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