Sporting CP vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Boavista
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Sporting CP
POR
0-3
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Boavista
POR
Sporting CP 3-2 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP nicked a narrow win over Boavista 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting CP had 72% of the ball to Boavista's 28%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.06 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting CP's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Sporting CP and 0.50 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Boavista?
Sporting CP 3-2 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 65%, draw 19%, Boavista 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.