Sporting CP 6-1 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Sporting CP
6-1 HT 1-1
Boavista
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sporting CP vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.65
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.29
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
32.5
X/1
22%
3.37
X/2
5%
32.5
X/X
6%
10.35
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
5%
25.5
2/X
5%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-10.9pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.6pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Boavista — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.34/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.52
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.8
23.9 Crosses 12.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sporting CP vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Boavista
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.29 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
500 Passes 275
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Boavista Boavista 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
12.03.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
17.09.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
25.04.2022 Boavista Boavista 0-3 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
11.12.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
11.05.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-0 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR

Sporting CP 6-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
6-1
AWAY Boavista
3.79 xG 0.19
71% Ball Possession 29%
23 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
515 Passes 163
92% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Boavista 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting CP had 71% of the ball to Boavista's 29%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 3.79 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting CP and 0.33 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Boavista?

Sporting CP 6-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 69%, draw 18%, Boavista 14%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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