Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Chaves
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
4-0
HT 3-0
Chaves
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
4-3
HT 3-3
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Chaves 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes nicked a narrow win over Chaves 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Vitoria Guimaraes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chaves had 53% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 47%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.79 to 1.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chaves and 2.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Chaves 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chaves 29%, draw 31%, Vitoria Guimaraes 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.