Sporting Braga 1-1 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
60%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.93/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.78
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.4 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Estoril
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.04 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
490 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.12.2025 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
19.04.2025 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
06.12.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-2 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
13.04.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
27.01.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril PORLC
03.12.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
1-1
AWAY Estoril
0.40 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 Passes 404
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga and Estoril shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting Braga carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 50% of the ball to Estoril's 50%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.40 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.83 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Estoril?

Sporting Braga 1-1 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 62%, draw 19%, Estoril 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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