Estoril 0-2 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.27
1/2
9%
24.65
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
14%
8.98
X/2
12%
4.32
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.37
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
-11% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.8 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.72 xG 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
302 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-2 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
13.04.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
27.01.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril PORLC
03.12.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
08.04.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 4-1 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
22.10.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
0-2
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.54 xG 0.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
306 Passes 532
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
5 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Estoril vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga got the better of Estoril 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Estoril had 38% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 62%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.54 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estoril and 2.17 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Estoril vs Sporting Braga?

Estoril 0-2 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estoril 33%, draw 22%, Sporting Braga 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
19 Apr 2025
17:30 AVS vs Casa Pia Analysis →
17:30 Nacional vs Gil Vicente Analysis →
20:00 Arouca vs Estrela Analysis →
22:30 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica Analysis →