Sporting Braga 2-2 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 6 Dec 2024

Sporting Braga
2-2 HT 1-0
Estoril
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Sporting Braga vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
29.5
X/1
17%
3.79
X/2
6%
25.0
X/X
7%
9.37
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
6%
20.2
2/X
5%
30.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-8.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.9pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Braga v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.16/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.70
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
24.9 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sporting Braga vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Estoril
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.76 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
481 Passes 290
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
27.01.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril PORLC
03.12.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
08.04.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 4-1 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
22.10.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
18.04.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR

Sporting Braga 2-2 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
2-2
AWAY Estoril
3.62 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
322 Passes 353
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga and Estoril shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting Braga carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 48% of the ball to Estoril's 52%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 3.62 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.50 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Estoril?

Sporting Braga 2-2 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 65%, draw 17%, Estoril 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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