AVS 1-1 Casa Pia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

AVS
1-1 HT 1-0
Casa Pia
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

AVS vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.6
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
7%
6.0
X/2
15%
5.18
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.67
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AVS v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.18/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.25
-17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
11.3 Crosses 12.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

AVS vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Casa Pia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
376 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-1 HT 1-0 AVS AVS POR

AVS 1-1 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-1
AWAY Casa Pia
0.72 xG 1.26
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
139 Passes 341
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 26
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AVS vs Casa Pia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AVS and Casa Pia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Casa Pia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AVS had 34% of the ball to Casa Pia's 66%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.72 to 1.26.

What was the final score of AVS vs Casa Pia?

AVS 1-1 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Casa Pia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AVS 28%, draw 31%, Casa Pia 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casa Pia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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