Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kasımpaşa v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals
Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 1-1
Kocaelispor
TÜK
5-0
HT 4-0
Kocaelispor
TÜK
2-4
HT 1-1
Kasımpaşa
HAZ
2-0
HT 1-0
Kocaelispor
SEV
2-2
HT 1-1
Kasımpaşa
T1L
Kasımpaşa 1-1 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa and Kocaelispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kasımpaşa had 60% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 40%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.04 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.17 for Kocaelispor.
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
Kasımpaşa 1-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 46%, draw 35%, Kocaelispor 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa), BTTS No went the other way.