Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Gençlerbirliği — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Gençlerbirliği
TSL
1-3
HT 0-2
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Gençlerbirliği — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük squeezed past Gençlerbirliği 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 37% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 63%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.58 to 2.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gençlerbirliği.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.20 for Gençlerbirliği.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - Super League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 27%, Gençlerbirliği 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.