Brezilya (K) 2-1 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
39%
+10.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.27/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.94
+105% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
15.1 Crosses 10.5
0.4 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya (K)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Japonya (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
363 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
28.07.2024 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) OLY
09.04.2024 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
03.12.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
30.11.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 4-3 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
17.02.2023 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya (K)
2-1
AWAY Japonya (K)
1.37 xG 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
303 Passes 178
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) edged past Japonya (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brezilya (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brezilya (K) had 59% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 41%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.37 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brezilya (K) and 1.50 for Japonya (K).

What was the final score of Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Brezilya (K) 2-1 Japonya (K) in the Friendlies on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brezilya (K) 50%, draw 22%, Japonya (K) 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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