Tallinna Kalev 2-2 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Jul 2024

Tallinna Kalev
2-2 HT 2-2
FC Kuressaare
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tallinna Kalev v FC Kuressaare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 39%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.41/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.91
+4% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
08.07.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.04.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
29.10.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1

Tallinna Kalev 2-2 FC Kuressaare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2-2
AWAY FC Kuressaare
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev and FC Kuressaare couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 61% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 39%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.00 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare?

Tallinna Kalev 2-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 40%, draw 26%, FC Kuressaare 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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