FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
3-1
HT 2-1
FK Tukums 2000
LET
3-3
HT 2-1
FK Tukums 2000
LET
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
FK Tukums 2000 1-2 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils edged past FK Tukums 2000 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day BFC Daugavpils made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 71% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 29%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.68 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold BFC Daugavpils's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.17 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Tukums 2000 1-2 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 38%, draw 25%, BFC Daugavpils 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) went the other way.