Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 Jul 2024

📅03/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 37% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.7pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.08
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.4 Crosses 12.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ismaily
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 2-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
03.04.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
08.12.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
15.05.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
31.10.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
27.08.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-3 HT 1-2 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
1-0
AWAY Ismaily
0.91 xG 0.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
291 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra squeezed past Ismaily 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Ceramica Cleopatra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 45% of the ball to Ismaily's 55%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ismaily led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.67 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ismaily?

Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 39%, draw 32%, Ismaily 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
3 Jul 2024
16:00 Future FC vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Analysis →
19:00 Pharco vs Zamalek Analysis →