Pharco 1-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 3 Jul 2024

Pharco
1-1 HT 1-1
Zamalek
📅03/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pharco vs Zamalek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pharco v Zamalek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.99/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.74
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
14.4 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Pharco vs Zamalek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zamalek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.04
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
238 Passes 432
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.06.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
04.12.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.07.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
23.06.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 3-1 Pharco Pharco MSRK
06.02.2023 Pharco Pharco 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
19.08.2022 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR

Pharco 1-1 Zamalek — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-1
AWAY Zamalek
1.04 xG 2.08
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
234 Passes 434
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco and Zamalek couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zamalek at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pharco had 38% of the ball to Zamalek's 62%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 1.04 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pharco and 1.33 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Zamalek?

Pharco 1-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 03/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pharco 26%, draw 29%, Zamalek 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zamalek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5
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