St. Croix 1-2 Minneapolis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.9pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-6.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Croix EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+50% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Croix
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Minneapolis City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.06.2025 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
15.07.2024 St. Croix St. Croix 0-2 HT 0-2 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
23.05.2024 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
19.06.2023 St. Croix St. Croix 2-1 HT 1-0 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
14.05.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
16.07.2022 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
POST-MATCH St. Croix vs Minneapolis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minneapolis City nicked a narrow win over St. Croix 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Minneapolis City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Croix and 1.33 for Minneapolis City.

What was the final score of St. Croix vs Minneapolis City?

St. Croix 1-2 Minneapolis City in the USA - USL League 2 on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Croix vs Minneapolis City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minneapolis City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St. Croix 22%, draw 28%, Minneapolis City 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minneapolis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minneapolis City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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