Minneapolis City 3-1 St. Croix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Croix EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
435 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minneapolis City
2W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Croix
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
15.07.2024 St. Croix St. Croix 0-2 HT 0-2 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
23.05.2024 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
19.06.2023 St. Croix St. Croix 2-1 HT 1-0 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
14.05.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
16.07.2022 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
POST-MATCH Minneapolis City vs St. Croix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minneapolis City beat St. Croix 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minneapolis City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Croix led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minneapolis City and 1.40 for St. Croix.

What was the final score of Minneapolis City vs St. Croix?

Minneapolis City 3-1 St. Croix in the USA - USL League 2 on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minneapolis City vs St. Croix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minneapolis City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Minneapolis City 50%, draw 24%, St. Croix 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minneapolis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minneapolis City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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