KFG Gardabar 2-3 UMF Tindastoll — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%
1.33
No
26%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+10.4pp
15%
Draw
20%
-5.4pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-5.0pp
74%
BTTS Yes
71%
+2.9pp
26%
BTTS No
29%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.67/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.00
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFG Gardabar
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UMF Tindastoll
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2024 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 1-3 HT 0-1 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll İZL2
08.07.2024 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll 2-2 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs UMF Tindastoll
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll edged past KFG Gardabar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UMF Tindastoll as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (74%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, UMF Tindastoll led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KFG Gardabar and 2.50 for UMF Tindastoll.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs UMF Tindastoll?

KFG Gardabar 2-3 UMF Tindastoll in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs UMF Tindastoll?

Before kick-off our model rated an UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 32%, draw 15%, UMF Tindastoll 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Tindastoll), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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