Cuiaba 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.1 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
3W-2D-1L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
24.07.2025 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-1 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
16.09.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-2 HT 2-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
07.05.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
29.09.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
04.06.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
2.20 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
391 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 9
39 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba nicked a narrow win over America Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cuiaba had 55% of the ball to America Mineiro's 45%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.20 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cuiaba's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cuiaba and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?

Cuiaba 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 51%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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