Cuiaba 3-1 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.19
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -31%
1.42/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
+27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.5 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY America Mineiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-2 HT 2-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
07.05.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
29.09.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
04.06.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
02.10.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-2 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
17.06.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
3-1
AWAY America Mineiro
1.86 xG 2.04
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
162 Passes 380
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba got the better of America Mineiro 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuiaba had 33% of the ball to America Mineiro's 67%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.86 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cuiaba and 1.33 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?

Cuiaba 3-1 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 43%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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