Novorizontino 1-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
2.7
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
33%
-7.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.10
+45% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.5 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Goias
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
212 Passes 330
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
05.08.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-0
AWAY Goias
1.94 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
252 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino squeezed past Goias 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Novorizontino had 47% of the ball to Goias's 53%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.94 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novorizontino and 1.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Goias?

Novorizontino 1-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 42%, draw 25%, Goias 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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