Amazonas 1-1 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jul 2025

📅24/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.61
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.54/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.04
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.1 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Paysandu
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
156 Passes 406
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2024 Paysandu Paysandu 0-1 HT 0-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
18.05.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-1 HT 1-1 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
09.09.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
08.07.2023 Amazonas Amazonas 1-2 HT 0-1 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-1
AWAY Paysandu
2.04 xG 1.10
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
354 Passes 144
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
42 Box Touches 17
45 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas and Paysandu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Amazonas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Amazonas had 68% of the ball to Paysandu's 32%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.04 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paysandu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Amazonas and 1.00 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Paysandu?

Amazonas 1-1 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 43%, draw 27%, Paysandu 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amazonas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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