America Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.06
+22% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.9 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-1 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
16.09.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-2 HT 2-2 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
07.05.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
29.09.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
04.06.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
02.10.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-2 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
0.86 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
324 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro and Cuiaba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, America Mineiro had 58% of the ball to Cuiaba's 42%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.86 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for America Mineiro and 1.67 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

America Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 43%, draw 25%, Cuiaba 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America Mineiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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