Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 Nov 2025

Criciuma
2-0 HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Criciuma vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.65
+24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
20.5 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Criciuma vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.07.2025 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
18.11.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
18.07.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
12.09.2021 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
13.07.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 3-1 HT 2-1 Criciuma Criciuma BRE3
28.09.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
2-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.26 xG 0.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
313 Passes 337
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma got the better of Botafogo SP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Criciuma had 48% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 52%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.26 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Criciuma and 0.67 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Botafogo SP?

Criciuma 2-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 62%, draw 25%, Botafogo SP 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✗ BTTS Yes
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