Goias 1-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+28% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.9 Crosses 21.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
309 Passes 226
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
25.11.2024 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
05.08.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-0
AWAY Novorizontino
0.78 xG 0.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
250 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Goias vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias squeezed past Novorizontino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Goias had 41% of the ball to Novorizontino's 59%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Novorizontino led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Goias and 1.00 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Goias vs Novorizontino?

Goias 1-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Goias 41%, draw 26%, Novorizontino 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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