Northcote City 2-3 Melbourne Srbija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northcote City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.72/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.58
-26% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northcote City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Srbija
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.03.2026 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 1-2 Northcote City Northcote City AVPL1
13.06.2025 Northcote City Northcote City 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija NPL2
08.03.2025 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 2-2 Northcote City Northcote City NPL2
POST-MATCH Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija squeezed past Northcote City 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Northcote City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Northcote City and 1.33 for Melbourne Srbija.

What was the final score of Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

Northcote City 2-3 Melbourne Srbija in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northcote City vs Melbourne Srbija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Northcote City 50%, draw 28%, Melbourne Srbija 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northcote City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northcote City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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