Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne Srbija v Northcote City — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Northcote City edged past Melbourne Srbija 2-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Northcote City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne Srbija had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melbourne Srbija and 1.00 for Northcote City.
What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
Melbourne Srbija 1-2 Northcote City in the AVPL1 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Northcote City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Northcote City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 25%, draw 20%, Northcote City 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northcote City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.