Bulleen Lions 2-0 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.29
Over 2.5
43%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.46
No
55%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
40%
+17.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
60%
-17.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.9pp
55%
BTTS No
36%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulleen Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 45%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-52% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bulleen Lions vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulleen Lions beat Melbourne Knights 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Bulleen Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bulleen Lions vs Melbourne Knights?

Bulleen Lions 2-0 Melbourne Knights in the AVPL1 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulleen Lions vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bulleen Lions 37%, draw 25%, Melbourne Knights 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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